Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.045655 0.049703 0.053808 0.058276 0.062996 0.067826 0.073135
2025-01-12 0.039004 0.044819 0.050929 0.057804 0.065297 0.073191 0.082113
2025-01-19 0.034729 0.041889 0.049652 0.058637 0.068692 0.079542 0.092079
2025-01-26 0.030447 0.038487 0.047470 0.058144 0.070378 0.083862 0.099746
2025-02-02 0.027363 0.036127 0.046188 0.058429 0.072755 0.088836 0.108089
2025-02-09 0.025254 0.034687 0.045787 0.059574 0.076005 0.094735 0.117470
2025-02-16 0.024118 0.034293 0.046522 0.061982 0.080687 0.102282 0.128789
2025-02-23 0.020958 0.031125 0.043672 0.059877 0.079842 0.103243 0.132342
2025-03-02 0.018832 0.029106 0.042090 0.059183 0.080578 0.105982 0.137927
2025-03-09 0.017073 0.027430 0.040821 0.058769 0.081566 0.108960 0.143756
2025-03-16 0.016476 0.027269 0.041470 0.060761 0.085532 0.115559 0.153977
2025-03-23 0.015587 0.026633 0.041438 0.061832 0.088315 0.120706 0.162459
2025-03-30 0.014613 0.025842 0.041190 0.062649 0.090841 0.125643 0.170846
2025-04-06 0.013291 0.024452 0.040052 0.062228 0.091741 0.128542 0.176741
2025-04-13 0.012525 0.023832 0.039938 0.063149 0.094369 0.133619 0.185371
2025-04-20 0.011386 0.022556 0.038827 0.062654 0.095096 0.136267 0.190964
2025-04-27 0.010585 0.021747 0.038334 0.062968 0.096867 0.140235 0.198227
2025-05-04 0.010102 0.021411 0.038501 0.064183 0.099833 0.145745 0.207464
2025-05-11 0.010008 0.021705 0.039601 0.066723 0.104610 0.153635 0.219786
2025-05-18 0.008710 0.019873 0.037422 0.064509 0.102860 0.152984 0.221157
2025-05-25 0.007884 0.018784 0.036313 0.063780 0.103097 0.154901 0.225807
2025-06-01 0.007193 0.017877 0.035435 0.063344 0.103707 0.157289 0.231059
2025-06-08 0.007093 0.018046 0.036262 0.065443 0.107877 0.164434 0.242544